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Indonesia prepares to [implement](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) B40 in January
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Because case, rates might rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke states
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B40 will need additional 3 mln heaps feedstock, GAPKI states
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Malaysia palm oil criteria at highest considering that mid-2022
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India might withdraw import tax trek amidst inflation, Mistry says
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(Adds analyst remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil benchmark cost)
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By [Bernadette](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) Christina
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NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is anticipated to recover in 2025 after an anticipated drop this year, but prices are anticipated to remain raised due to organized growth of the country's [biodiesel](https://biodieselmagazine.com/articles/felda-global-buys-missions-kuantan-port-plant-for-11-5-million-9053) mandate, market experts said.
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The palm oil standard cost in Malaysia has actually increased more than 35% this year, raised by slow output and plan to increase the necessary domestic [biodiesel](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price) mix to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to minimize fuel imports.
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Palm oil output next year in top manufacturer Indonesia is expected to recuperate by 1.5 million metric lots [compared](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159346/mission-newenergy-delivers-maiden-biodiesel-production-to-global-oil-major-24476.html) with an [approximated drop](https://www.proactiveinvestors.com.au/ASX:MBT/Mission-NewEnergy-Ltd) of simply over a million tons this year, Julian McGill, managing director at Glenauk Economics, told the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference on Friday.
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Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research study company Oil World, said he [anticipates Indonesia's](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) palm oil production to [increase](https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/mission-newenergy) by as much as 2 million heaps next year after a 2.5 million lot drop in 2024.
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While Indonesia's output is anticipated to improve, [provide](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) from elsewhere and of other vegetable oils is seen tightening.
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Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is anticipated to dip slightly next year after increasing by an [approximated](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1463471/000165495419013063/R31.htm) 1 million heaps in 2024.
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"We would need a recovery in palm in 2025 because combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are decreasing," [Mielke stated](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86).
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'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE
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The [rate surge](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) in [palm oil](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MNEL) in the previous seven weeks has actually been "frightening" for purchasers, Mielke said, adding that it would rally by 10%-15% in January-March if Indonesia imposes the so-called B40 policy.
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The [Indonesia Palm](https://www.investing.com/equities/mission-newenergy-ltd-company-profile) Oil Association said extra feedstock of around 3 million loads will be needed for B40 execution, eroding export supply.
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The present palm oil premium has actually currently triggered palm to lose market share versus other oils, Mielke added.
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[Malaysian palm](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) [oil costs](https://www.zonebourse.com/cours/action/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-8557641/) are seen [trading](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) at around $950 to $1,050 per metric ton in 2025, McGill of Glenauk approximated.
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Benchmark Malaysian palm oil touched 5,104 [ringgit](https://www.energy-xprt.com/companies/mission-newenergy-limited-36048) ($1,165.30) on Friday, the greatest because mid-2022.
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"Sentiment today is red-hot and incredibly bullish, we have to beware," stated Dorab Mistry, director at Indian durable goods company Godrej International.
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He forecast the Malaysian cost around 5,000 [ringgit](https://www.energy-xprt.com/companies/mission-newenergy-limited-36048) and above until June 2025.
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Mielke and Mistry prompted Indonesia to
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consider delaying
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B40 implementation on concern about its impact on [food customers](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86).
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Meanwhile, Mistry expected leading palm oil importer India to [withdraw](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86) its
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import task walking
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enforced from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy
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